Election Poll Results: House, Senate, President and Measure 5 | VideoKFYR-TV | 10/29/2012
The NBC North Dakota News latest Mason-Dixon poll of 625 likely voters shows that Republican candidate Rick Berg has opened a two point lead over the Democratic challenger, Heidi Heitkamp. Our poll conducted at the end of September, had the two tied at 47 percent to 47 percent. This poll has Berg ahead 47 percent to 45 percent.
Berg has strong support in the more conservative areas of Bismarck-Mandan and western North Dakota, while Heitkamp leads in Fargo and eastern North Dakota. Heitkamp wins in the east 50 to 41 and 52 to 41, while Berg is tops with the western voters, 54 to 39 per cent and 53 to 38 percent.
Berg is the choice with male voters, winning 57 to 38, while Heitkamp has a 52 to 37 advantage with women. Within party affiliations, Heitkamp has a 96 to 2 lead with Democrats while Berg wins with Republicans 88 to 7. Heitkamp has a 48 to 38 lead with people who say they are independents.
Moving on to the U.S. House race, Republican Kevin Cramer has a ten point advantage over Democrat Pam Gulleson. The numbers show Cramer up 50 to 40 percent. Those numbers show each with a slight uptick since the poll a month ago. In that one Cramer led 49 to 37%
North Dakotans again favor the Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney. He holds the same 54 to 40 advantage that he had in our last poll. North Dakota has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since the early 1960s.
The measure dealing with making it a felony to maliciously and intentionally harm a living dog, cat or horse now appears to be going down in defeat. Just a month ago the yes votes were winning by a 66 to 27 percent margin. Numbers this poll have the no votes now leading 49 to 44 percent.
There is a gender gap on the bill, men oppose the measure 63 to 34 percent while women favor it 50 to 36 percent. Geographically, Fargo area residents and those from eastern North Dakota favor the measure while people from Bismarck-Mandan and western North Dakota strongly oppose it.
The poll was conducted last Friday through Sunday and has a margin of error of plus or minus four percent.